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The primary question is this: do we truly have models that can predict future asset correlations.

The primary question is this: do we truly have models that can predict future asset correlations. In other words, are our assumptions about distribution of returns valid. Behavioral economics suggests that individuals react differently than mathematically predicted. Personally, I think the biggest problem with any ideal portfolio allocation tool are black swan events (Taleb).

Posted by jhulla on Nov 8, 2014, 1:06 AM

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The primary question is this: do we truly have models that can predict future asset correlations.

jhullaNov 8, 2014, 1:06 AM

The primary question is this: do we truly have models that can predict future asset correlations. In other words, are our assumptions about distribution of returns valid. Behavioral economics suggests that individuals react differently than mathematically predicted. Personally, I think the biggest problem with any ideal portfolio allocation tool are black swan events (Taleb).

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