IssueRaiser

I'm mildly optimistic.

I'm mildly optimistic. I'm recently back from Saigon which went through a similar thing - new builds were stupid expensive against GDP per capita and peaked around 2008 or so. Then: "house prices can drop as quickly as they rise. Vietnam's did with a vengeance in late 2010 as the economy slipped. Prices are down by 50 per cent in some parts of the country, and no one is predicting a rebound. Banks are weighed down with bad debt, much of it secured against property..." Economic growth dropped from about 7% nationally to about 5% and maybe 0% in Saigon but is now back to growing 7%. Property in the overpriced new builds is still down 50% or so but showing signs of recovery - life goes on indeed it's kind of booming just now after being pretty quite a couple of years back. I imagine China will be similar.

Posted by tim333 on May 25, 2015, 1:23 PM

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I'm mildly optimistic.

tim333May 25, 2015, 1:23 PM

I'm mildly optimistic. I'm recently back from Saigon which went through a similar thing - new builds were stupid expensive against GDP per capita and peaked around 2008 or so. Then: "house prices can drop as quickly as they rise. Vietnam's did with a vengeance in late 2010 as the economy slipped. Prices are down by 50 per cent in some parts of the country, and no one is predicting a rebound. Banks are weighed down with bad debt, much of it secured against property..." Economic growth dropped from about 7% nationally to about 5% and maybe 0% in Saigon but is now back to growing 7%. Property in the overpriced new builds is still down 50% or so but showing signs of recovery - life goes on indeed it's kind of booming just now after being pretty quite a couple of years back. I imagine China will be similar.

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