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That's only true in large cities which are effectively at 100% land usage.

That's only true in large cities which are effectively at 100% land usage. Meanwhile where I grew up in rural Tennessee not only are the houses cheap but the materials used to build them are lesser than anything you'll find within 50 miles of downtown Seattle (where I now live). My view is slightly more nuanced. Developing is expensive. Luxury properties, like all luxury goods, sell at a higher margin than non-luxury. Therefore developers will build higher margin luxury apartments until demand for luxury apartments is satisfied. At that point they'll build mid-tier. Which have lower margins but it's still profitable and better than not making money. Then, once the mid-tier is finally satisfied, the low end will be built. Margins are likely crappy but hey whatever. Once you reach full land use there's another layer of complexity. You can't build out so you have to build up. And building up is more expensive. In fact each floor is more expensive than the one below it. It doesn't take long for simply breaking even to be too expensive for even the lowest tier when land costs come into play.

Posted by forrestthewoods on May 9, 2015, 2:49 AM

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That's only true in large cities which are effectively at 100% land usage.

forrestthewoodsMay 9, 2015, 2:49 AM

That's only true in large cities which are effectively at 100% land usage. Meanwhile where I grew up in rural Tennessee not only are the houses cheap but the materials used to build them are lesser than anything you'll find within 50 miles of downtown Seattle (where I now live). My view is slightly more nuanced. Developing is expensive. Luxury properties, like all luxury goods, sell at a higher margin than non-luxury. Therefore developers will build higher margin luxury apartments until demand for luxury apartments is satisfied. At that point they'll build mid-tier. Which have lower margins but it's still profitable and better than not making money. Then, once the mid-tier is finally satisfied, the low end will be built. Margins are likely crappy but hey whatever. Once you reach full land use there's another layer of complexity. You can't build out so you have to build up. And building up is more expensive. In fact each floor is more expensive than the one below it. It doesn't take long for simply breaking even to be too expensive for even the lowest tier when land costs come into play.

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